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CPI Report Looms: Markets Hold Breath as Fed's Next Move Hangs in Balance

As traders await the pivotal US consumer price index (CPI) report, global markets are on edge, with Asian stocks poised for a mixed opening. The CPI data is expected to provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve's future rate decisions, which have been a focal point for investors. "All eyes are now on Wednesday’s CPI report, which may be the most important inflation reading in recent memory," said Chris Brigati at SWBC. A strong inflation figure could reinforce the notion of no rate cuts in 2025, or even a potential hike, while weaker data might ease market concerns over the Fed's trajectory.

In the commodities sector, oil prices have retreated from a five-month high following a tentative ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel, which has alleviated some supply risk concerns. This geopolitical development has contributed to the cooling of a recent rally in oil prices, which had been driven by fears over disruptions in Russian and Iranian supplies.

As of 18:11 on January 14, the price of Brent crude oil (CO1) stands at $80.21, slightly up from its last close of $79.92. The market remains sensitive to geopolitical developments and upcoming economic data, which could further influence price movements.