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S&P 500's Tug-of-War: AI Jitters vs. Market Resilience

The S&P 500 is experiencing a mixed trading session as investors navigate a complex landscape of market signals. Increased put buying post-11am in New York reflects a bearish sentiment, with investors anticipating further declines. This sentiment is compounded by a significant decline in Nvidia's stock, which has dropped around 16%, exerting psychological pressure on the broader index. Additionally, systematic strategies and ETFs continue to contribute to selling pressure, potentially exacerbating downward momentum.

Despite these challenges, the market shows signs of resilience. The 6,000 level on the S&P 500 has emerged as a critical battleground due to substantial open interest and neutral gamma effects, which stabilize prices through dealer hedging activity. Furthermore, the historically low correlation of implied volatility across S&P 500 stocks suggests that the current selloff is primarily an AI risk-off event, rather than a broad market downturn. The broadening market breadth observed in recent weeks also indicates underlying strength, with sustained buy-side interest supporting the index.

As of 12:51 on January 27, the S&P 500 is trading at 5,986.34, down from its last close of 6,101.24. The index opened at 5,969.04, reaching an intraday high of 6,017.17 and a low of 5,962.92, as investors continue to assess the evolving market dynamics.